Late April is truly your dog days of sports betting. Football season has for ages been over – sorry XFL – and it doesn’t start back up for months. March Madness is now a fading memory and the NBA playoffs have started but they are only playing like a game a week. So, what is a sports bettor to do in this sparse time? Luckily, there is a superb betting event that comes up the past weekend of April that real bettors know and love to wager on.
The 2022 NFL Draft took place between, April 28 and Sunday, April 30, 2023. Some people probably don’t take into account the draft as a big-time gambling event, ทีเด็ดมวย but it’s grown as a betting opportunity in recent years. With the rise of online gambling of all types, from online casinos to sportsbooks, events such as the NFL Draft have gone from hardcore football nerd fare to gambler’s dream weekend. Here is everything you need to learn about the ins and outs of betting on the NFL Draft.
No Drama in the #1 Pick
A long time there is an argument at the the top of draft board over who goes number 1 overall and this is always a great place to bet. The years if you find two viable the top of draft choices are always the most effective whether it’s Peyton Manning vs Ryan Leaf or a more recent example like Jared Goff vs Carson Wentz.
In 2020, there will be no such drama unless something truly crazy and unexpected happens. LSU quarterback Joe Burrow is the odds-on favorite to be the amount 1 overall pick whether it’s by the Cincinnati Bengals or someone else who trades up for it. Burrow’s odds are in -2200 to be the pick and another closest player is Chase Young, the Ohio State defensive end at +1200. The moral of the story here is to avoid betting on the top pick this year.
Betting on Picks 2 -5
This year, the smart money and the action so far as betting on where people should go will be on picks 2 through 5. The Redskins at pick number two are a little an exception but picks 3 through 5 for sure will be fun to wager on.
At pick 2, conventional wisdom says that they can go with Young but once you learn anything about the Redskins, they are anything but predictable. Following NFL Draft combine, there has been whispers that the Skins usually takes injured Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa with the next pick. While this still seems unlikely, there could also be a trade up for the banged-up signal-caller so betting on Tagovailoa at 2 might make you some money.
In terms of 3 to 5, this can probably be some combination of Tagovailoa, Clemson’s Isaiah Simmons, and Ohio State’s Jeff Okudah. Figuring out which order these 3 players will leave the green room in should win you a good chunk of change to truly get your 2020 Draft betting off to a solid start. You are able to bet on these results in the shape of over/ under draft position or via the cash line if you believe you can hit it exactly.
The Third Quarterback Off the Board
As discussed above, Burrow and Tagovailoa are virtually mortal locks to be the first 2 quarterbacks on stage in April. Where the first-round quarterback situation starts to have interesting is by using the question, who could be the third QB to hear their name called? This debate is so heated right since ESPN’s two draft experts, Mel Kiper, Jr. and Todd McShay actually made a $5,000 bet (for charity) on this question with their particular money.
Kiper, the initial NFL draft expert still going strong, loves Oregon quarterback Justin Herbert and his size and arm strength. McShay, on the other hand, is more of a fan of Utah State’s Jordan love and his smooth athleticism. You don’t need to plunk down 5K but letting only a little money ride with whichever ESPN draftnik you prefer best is a large amount of fun.
Positional Over/ Unders
Another great way to bet on the draft is to take the over/ under on a positional group in the first round. This can likely keep your bet alive completely until late in the round and if you put together or follow a solid mock draft, it might make you some good money.
As with many odds, the oddsmakers in Las Vegas are great at assembling lines and over/ unders. Those huge, lavish casinos in the desert didn’t build themselves. Nevertheless, there is some great value if you’re able to identify probably the most or least in-demand position groups before the draft. In 2019, it absolutely was an extremely defensive heavy year with a lot of talent coming out on that side of the ball. As a result of this, OL, TE, WR, and QB all went under and RBs pushed at 1.
In 2020, the contrary is true and there is a lot of offensive talent that teams covet available early in the draft. There must be 4 quarterbacks taken in the very best 15 picks and it would be no surprise if a 5th or perhaps a 6th came off the board at the end of the 1st. There must also be described as a significant run on offensive lineman in round 1.
The big winners of the first round though will be wide receivers. This year is a historic wide receiver class and they could see 5 or 6 of these fellow pass catchers all make it to the first. If you find a range that has OL, QB, or WR at 5 or under, take it for sure you will probably be safe taking around 6 on these three positions.
Conclusion
Don’t let the NFL offseason enable you to get down as a gambler. There are plenty of great futures to bet on and, needless to say, the NFL Draft. Betting on the draft is a superb way spend a weekend and one last tip, be sure you put a coin flip wager on whether the past pick, Mr. Irrelevant, will be an offensive or defensive player. That will stop you invested to the bitter end.